Are 30-year fixed mortgage rates going down?
Yes, mortgage rates are forecasted to trend down through 2024. Mortgage rates this year have been experiencing some drops, and now that the Federal Reserve cut rates by 0.5 percentage points in September, there is even more positive outlook on rates movement as the year closes.
Here are the U.S. weekly average rates from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, as of October 10, 2024:
- 30-year fixed-rate mortgage: 6.32%
- 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: 5.41%
This week, 30-year rates rose by 0.20 percentage points and 15-year rates increased by 0.16 percentage points. Our experts predict that, barring an unexpected increase in inflation, the Federal Reserve could make more rate cuts before the end of 2024. In response, mortgage rates should go down. This is good news for potential homebuyers looking to purchase in what has been the least affordable housing market since the 1980s.
While current 30-year mortgage rates aren’t exceptionally high from a historical perspective, they can be hard to deal with — especially when combined with a housing market affected by inventory shortages, high home prices and lower affordability.
30-year fixed-rate refinance trends
Refinance rates are usually slightly more expensive than purchase rates, but the two tend to move roughly in tandem. In today’s rates environment, you can expect about a 26-basis-point difference between what you’ll pay to refinance versus purchase. (That said, on a $400,000 loan that’s likely only going to affect your monthly payment by about $69, so it shouldn’t be a huge concern.)